• Sun. Dec 22nd, 2024

Is it Time the Penguins take away Sullivan’s Credit Card?

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ByThe Other Rick

Mar 8, 2022

Disclaimer – Do not read any farther if you still believe in the tooth fairy, or any other childhood fantasies.

Let’s face it, in today’s day and age, there are a lot of Americans sinking under the weight of credit card debt. They walk into a market with plastic in hand and think that they need everything that they see. Never thinking about the end of the month when payment is due, they flash out their cards based on want and not need. Keeping up with the Smiths and Joneses, with delusions of grandeur these poor unfortunates become poorer each time they venture out to that bazaar.

The NHL’s trade deadline market is now open and all of the pundits are freely advising our Pittsburgh Penguins’ GM Ron Hextall as to whom the team should buy.

STOP already!

There isn’t much left in the team’s bank account (prospect pool) and the team’s chances of getting out if the first round let alone winning Cup isn’t that good.

 GPWLOTROWGFGF/60S%GAGA/60SV%
Metro6222281.616.84112.210.890
Atlantic96215212.969.01141.980.940
West102532182.126.55252.940.910
Total2510969472.38 502.43 
Table: Penguins Record and Stats Against Playoff Bound Teams if the Playoffs started today

Looking at above Table, the Penguins splits against playoff bound teams, they only have won 2 out of 6 games played against divisional opponents. In playoff terms, that means our Pens lose the series 2 – 4.

It shouldn’t come as any surprise since Mike Sullivan’s team can’t score 5 on 5 against Metro playoff teams 5 on 5. The Pyrite Penguins are barely able to squeak out 1.61 markers per 60 minutes. Looking at the team’s GA/60, it is somewhat respectable, however, the team Sv% is abysmal against those Metro playoff teams; 0.890% (5 on 5).

Yes, looking at the numbers, should our Black and Pyrite make it out of the Metro, they are matching up well against the Atlantic Conference, but you can’t look ahead to the Conference finals. Sullivan will first have to beat the best of the Metro, a feat HIS team hasn’t shown it can do; at least not since big Mike put his mark on the team. The last time he was able to make it out of the Metro was when he was coaching the Dan Bylsma/Mike Johnston built team.

Assuming all the planets align helping the Pens to beat two Metro teams, then they stay true to form and feast upon the Atlantic champion, something Sullivan’s teams appear quite suited to do, they would still need to beat a Western playoff team. Well, our waddling waterfowl match up even worse against the Western playoff teams. Our Penguins really have struggled against those Pacific Teams; 2-5-3.

Yes, things can change. Perhaps a Christmas miracle will happen in July and injuries or some other divine event will occur to allow our Penguins to at least reach to the Conference Finals; the bench mark management said several years ago to break even, financially. However, all signs point to another first round flame out.

So, if Mr. Hextall plays Jim Rutherford and takes his credit card to the Trade Deadline Market, Pittsburgh is going back to the early 2000s in a flash. They don’t have the blue-chip assets to buy any rental player that will change their fortunes substantive enough to really challenge for the Cup. All Hextall will succeed in doing is continue to sink into credit card debt.

However, just like one can sell on e-bay as well as buy, our Penguins can sell as well as buy at the trade deadline. The reality is this, we are poised to lose Kris Letang, Bryan Rust, and maybe even Evgeni Malkin for absolutely nothing. Our Pens record, to date, indicates that there is a very good chance that they won’t even have a first-round victory to show to justify the loss of those three players for zero return.

If management is honest with itself. If the team looks at their own record versus playoff teams, particularly versus playoff teams from their own division, they can start the recovery process.

There are many kids in the organization that I would love to see become stars in the league, but the reality is most of them will not make it. Just like in sales, it becomes a numbers game. The more potential customers one gets in front of, the greater the chance of a sale. The more prospects the team can sort through, the better the chances of the team to find the gems. If Hextall has the strength to sell off Letang and Rust, he could get a couple more blue-chip prospects and improve the team’s chances of finding those gems.

If Hextall doesn’t have the intestinal fortitude to make the right move now, if he buys instead of sells, it will cost him what little the team has in prospects for a mediocre player, the team will still exit in the first round and reduce the odds the team has in finding a gem or two, prolonging any recovery.

Don’t expect an Easter Basket full of Chocolate Bunnies and other Easter treats this Spring. It is time Hextall takes away Sullivan’s credit card. It is time to go to the pawn shop or consignment center and recoup some assets or that Easter Basket won’t even have dyed eggs in it, only rotten ones.

6 thoughts on “Is it Time the Penguins take away Sullivan’s Credit Card?”
  1. Hey Coach,
    Nicely written sir. Just a few quick supporting facts. The Boston Bruins have been surging up the standings and now look like they may take over from Toronto as the third team in their division to be in the play offs and Toronto being the first Wild Card.Florida,Tampa,Boston and Toronto.Any of those teams we would be hard pressed to beat in a 7 game series and everyone of those teams have the trade assets and the ability to improve their teams come trade time. That is a key point to remember.
    In the Metro we have Carolina and New York who will finish ahead of us as they too have the ability to add quality players to their team come trade time.Washington are very similar to us as being an older team and until recently have had several key injuries all season. Their GM stated he will not trade away his future for a major rental player because he said we are no longer in the top elite teams of the league and he will not waste our assets only to lose in the first or second round. He makes a lot of sense Coach.Washington should finish fourth at the end of the season so that means we will play New York or Carolina in the first round and the other in the second round if we get that far.
    In the West there are at least 5 teams we could not beat in a seven game series. So my point being as always…. every year for the last 3 years plus we come down to this time in the season and nothing changes… Only this year we have a chance to trade a couple of stars and may be get us a few 1st round picks. But I am not holding my breathe Coach.

    Cheers
    Jim

    1. Thank you Jim,

      I am not holding my breath either Jim. However, I would love for the Pens to get any 3 of these; Shane Wright, Logan Cooley (of Course those two), Juraj Slafkovsky, Simon Nemec, Conor Geekie, David Jiricek, Ivan Miroshnichenko (if they are aloud to draft him), Isaac Howard, Tristan Luneau, or Maveric Lamoureux (Rick he ain’t no Mitch, he is 6’7″ and he has moved up to 31st on many mock drafts).

      I do think the Pens could take TBL and TOR to the Limit and possibly win but Was is the only team I would give them a fighting chance to beat.

      I can’t see them beating any Western team.

      1. Hey Coach,
        TBL and Toronto both have ownership that are willing, and have the assets to make big trades to make them better and I do not see our Pen’s being able or willing to do the same. So if you put a Claude Giroux,a Tomas Hurtle or a JT Miller or a big name defense men on either of those teams and then Pittsburgh we have a problem.
        Fully agree about the western teams. Our defense would crumble.
        Cheers
        Jim

        1. you are right Jim,

          Our Pens are suffering from JR fatigue. He depleted the Penguins farm system, overpaying for mediocre talent, just like he did in Carolina. Right now, we can’t compete for any big name rentals.

          But in truth, I am not worried about TBL or Tor because I can’t picture a scenario short of the parting of the Red Sea that will get our Pens out of the Division up to the Conference Finals. I just read a headline saying the [the Pens) “Didn’t Protect Net”, in last night’s loss. I wanted to get on that blog and write, hey Mr Obvious, they haven’t been protecting their net all season. The only reason they are where they are right now, is that most of their games were against teams like Az that couldn’t make them pay for their defensive lassitude.

          Hopefully they can beat Vegas again. They get to play them on the back and of back to back games (like when they faced Carolina)

          We’ll see

          TOR

  2. Hey Other Rick,

    Outstanding. Simply outstanding. Extremely well-written, well-thought and entertaining. Your credit-card analogy is both clever and spot-on. Maybe your best piece ever … 🙂

    Rick

    PS–For the record, I’m no longer touting us as a Cup contender. In particular, I look at Florida’s lineup…a virtual murderer’s row…and we just don’t match up.

    Even if we somehow survive the East, if we run into Calgary…big, fast, skilled, tough and structured…we’re toast.

    1. Thank you Rick,

      You set the bar way up there. I have to do something to try and keep up the standards.

      Calgary should scare the Pens, particularly in a 7 game series but we aren’t getting past Carolina. We can’t even beat their backup goalie. Imagine how anemic the Offense is going to be against their starter. As I have written several times, many of the other teams around the league have taken to playing their back-up Goalie, our Pens offense doesn’t scare anyone, anymore.

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