• Thu. Dec 26th, 2024

Can the Penguins Improve?

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ByRick Buker

May 31, 2024

The other day, my colleague Caleb Di’Natale sent me a text displaying his new and improved black-and-gold lineup for the coming season.

It included a veritable Who’s Who of heavyweight free-agents (Sam Reinhart and Nikita Zadorov) and marquee trade acquisitions (Lawson Crouse, Conor Garland and Jakob Chychrun). Departures included Erik Karlsson, Ryan Graves, Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Rickard Rakell and Reilly Smith.

In addition, Caleb had a host of kids, including 2023 first-round pick Brayden Yager, Vasily Ponomarev, Ville Koivunen, Jack St. Ivany, John Ludwig and Joel Blomqvist occupying roster spots.

As I studied (salivated over) Caleb’s handiwork, I have to admit I was impressed. He’s much more hopeful than I.

Too bad his upbeat overhaul isn’t likely to occur. Here are just some of the significant barriers we face.

Not a Garden Spot

Even if we free up cap space and have money to burn, it’s extremely difficult to see front-line free agents like Reinhart and Zadorov opting to come to the ‘burgh. Most players, especially ones in a position to bargain, want to play for a team that has a legit shot at competing for a Stanley Cup.

With two straight playoff misses on the heels of four straight opening-round exits, the Pens are trending down, down, down to where Gollum (and the Blackhawks and Sharks) live.

The Fish Aren’t Biting

While I’d love to land players like Garland, Chychrun and especially Crouse, a soon-to-be 27-year-old power forward squarely in his prime, it’s hard to imagine opposing GMs climbing over one another to acquire the guys we might be offering in return. Karlsson (onerous AAV) and Rakell (dreadful term) are good players on unattractive contracts and Graves did much to train wreck his reputation last season.

I just can’t see other clubs being that anxious to do business.

As for other obstacles to improvement?

We Ain’t Gettin’ Any Younger

With all due respect to Sidney Crosby, who had an extraordinary season…period…let alone for a 36-year-old playing in his 19th NHL season, the heart of our team is aging and in decline.

Evgeni Malkin, who turns 38 this summer, struggled to produce during the middle portion of last season with an un-Genoesque 31 points in 49 games. There’s talk of moving the venerable Russian to wing.

Courageously playing through an injury, Kris Letang’s defensive impacts suffered in the second half. Karlsson, at age 34 the young gun of the bunch, saw his production basically pared in half from his standout Norris Trophy campaign of 2022-23.

Key support players like Bryan Rust, Lars Eller, Rakell and Smith are on the un-sunny side of 30 as well. Even with the anticipated influx of kids, we remain at our core a geriatric bunch. And there’s no guarantee the youngsters will provide immediate help…or develop as hoped.

The Blackhawks were in a similar place in the late 2010s in terms of age and roster construction and went nowhere.

Unfortunately, I expect the same for us.

The Net Effect

I’ve saved (no pun intended) the biggest impediment to improvement for last.

Former GM Ron Hextall gets excoriated for hastening the Pens’ decline, and rightfully so. But Kyle Dubas may have chained the final millstone around our collective necks when he inked goalie Tristan Jarry to a five-year deal last summer for a shade under $27 million.

Jarry, who has a well-documented history of fading in the second half, not to mention in the clutch, sagged once again last season. He was supplanted down the homestretch by Alex Nedeljkovic, who backstopped us to an 8-3-3 finish.

Yet Dubas has all but announced that UFA-to-be Ned won’t be re-signed while hinting that Jarry, erratic and enigmatic, will once again be the guy. In effect, choosing to ride a goalie who went 19-25-5 over one who was 18-7-7.

Talk about insanity.

Perhaps the 22-year-old Blomqvist, who had an outstanding season with the Baby Pens, can assume the backup (or 1A) role.

Again, don’t count your chickens before they hatch. Spurred by an iffy performance in the Calder Cup playoffs (sound familiar?), there are rumblings the former second-round pick may not be as NHL-ready as fans would like to believe.

In my perfect world, we re-sign Nedeljkovic and peddle Jarry, although it would likely be for someone else’s problem contract. Canadiens power forward Josh Anderson, a two-time 20-plus goal scorer, comes to mind.

If not?

I read yesterday that Blue Jackets goalie Elvis Merzlikins, once highly regarded like Jarry, is weary of the situation in Columbus. He’s under contract for three more seasons at an AAV of $5.4 million.

Perhaps a swap is in order. A fresh start might do both goalies some good. Plus, win, lose or draw, our announcers could say with certainty, “Elvis has just left the building,” after each game.

Yes, I’m being silly.

I Was Right

With my admittedly cracked crystal ball, I’ll be the first to admit I don’t get things right too often. In fact, I’m wrong about 90 percent of the time. So in those rare instances when I do nail it, I feel the need to toot my own horn a little.

During the latter stages of Jim Rutherford’s reign, there were rumblings we were kicking the tires on then-Flames power forward Sam Bennett, a former fourth overall pick who’d inexplicably regressed out west. I wrote a couple of articles on PenguinPoop imploring GMJR to pull the trigger.

Unfortunately, the Panthers beat us to the punch, acquiring “Playoff Sam” at the 2021 trade deadline for a second-round pick. A deal that’s paid dividends in spades.

A throw-back to old-school power forwards like Gary Roberts and Rick Tocchet, Bennett plays a fast, forceful, hard-hitting game. He can score, too.

The snarling 6’1” 195-pounder is precisely the type of player we desperately need yet never get.

2 thoughts on “Can the Penguins Improve?”
  1. Hey Rick

    Sorry so late on this. Great post, in fat, so good it almost gave me enough energy to write a full post of my own.

    The long and short of it, Rick, is that I do think that the team is fixable, I just don’t see the powers that be making the right calls. This team hasn’t made the right call since bringing up Jake Guentzel and giving him top 6 minutes in his first game, skating him along side Malkin. Since then, GM after GM, at best, have made a few OK moves but most of their decisions have been self destructive and they show no signs of righting the ship.

    Sullivan urged Dubas (backed by media types like Kingerski) to tie the Jarry millstone around this team’s neck and then died on that hill this past season. Even after last season’s disaster, the arrogance of these 2 Penguins’ “leaders” has them posturing like they will continue on there failed policies of last season, not learning from their mistakes.

    A couple of quick points on other roster thoughts you note,

    * I didn’t want Karlsson in the first place, but I am not among the reactionaries blaming Karlsson for everything up to and including environmental change., Having said that, although I would be ok with him staying, I would investigate Caleb’s idea of flipping him for Chychrun. I just think his idea of retaining salary rather than balancing players in and out, as well as some of the other facets of his idea of the trade would only hurt the team.

    No matter how much Caleb or any other Penguins’ fan would want to see Reinhart in black and gold next season, I don’t see any way that is going to happen, particularly with a Crosby extension looming.

    I am no fan of a Garland trade, but would investigate a possible salary dump to Vancouver – try and give JR back players he once traded for while here in Pgh.

    I also still would try and find a way to get Lamoureux off Utah.

    It is really hard to tease out how much blame to throw on the Forwards last season due to the continued tactical blunders of Sullivan and Reirden so for better or worse these are the players I would find or at least try to find new homes for,

    * Definitely – 1. JARRY, 2. POJ, 3. Smith, 4. Harkins (let walk – he is UFA), 5. Hinostroza (same as Harkins)
    * If I can work the right deals – 1. Karlsson, 2. Pettersson, 3. Rakell
    * Would be willing to use as trade bait to move the above 8 – 1. O’Connor, 2. Bemstrom, 3. Poulin, 4. Ponomarev, 5. Pickering

    The players I would look to sign in UFA – 1. Zadorov, 2. Pesce, 3. Debrusk

    Haven’t thought it completely through yet (particularly in terms of dumping dead cap) but would love to see the lineup look a little like this

    Center – Crosby, Malkin, Yager, Eller
    LW – Debrusk, Koivunen, Bunting, TBD
    RW – Rust, Puustenin, Giroux (with Karlsson to make numbers workout), TBD
    LHD – Zadorov, Chychrun, Graves
    RHD – Letang, Pesce, St. Ivany
    G – Ned and/or Stolarz and/or Bossoit, Blomqvist (worked in with any 2 of the a fore mentioned 3 UFAs)

    Again, I am still working on trying to figure numbers out and who I could dump dead would on.

    Oh, and Mike, I am not wed to Puustenin, but I do think if he is given the opportunity he could be dressed up to net us a decent return in a trade by mid season or deadline.

    1. Sorry, typed that in quickly this am and didn’t proof read the typos/homonym/autocorrects

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