• Sun. Dec 22nd, 2024

The X-Factor Hunt: What is the Penguins’ Missing Ingredient?

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ByCaleb Di'Natale

Jan 19, 2024
Photo by Jeanine Leech/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

I’ve thoroughly enjoyed observing the Penguins during this impressive stretch, boasting a commendable record of 9-3-3 in their last 15 games. Holding the 4th spot in the Metro spot until the Capitals win last night, they’re on the cusp of a wildcard position. However, despite their strong performance and favorable record, there’s an intangible sense that they haven’t fully embraced contender status.

I can’t help feel as though one thing or another seems to be missing to make this team a contender. But what specifically is it?

First and foremost, accolades are due for key players who have played pivotal roles in our current successful streak—Lars Eller, Drew OConnor, Kris Letang.

I’d also like to commend Noel Acciari, who deserves some extra recognition. In my view, he’s been outstanding and somewhat overlooked by the Penguins’ fanbase. Acciari’s performance stands out for me, demonstrating excellence in defensive play and showcasing true grit with his physicality. His contributions are noticeable, adding an extra layer of much needed spirit to the team.

And of course, goaltending has been excellent, it seems an almost split is working fantastically for Jarry. As the saying goes “Less is more” seems to apply well for Jarry, and these last games have just been fantastic.

In my eyes when Jarry is on his game, the Penguins have the second best goalie in the Metro. I’d go as far as to say that the Penguins have the second best tandem in the league outside of Vegas.

However, the most significant catalyst for the Penguins’ climb up the conference ranks is none other than Sid “The Un-Aging” Crosby. It’s impossible to overstate the impact Crosby is having on this team. I cannot emphasize enough how crucial it is for the Penguins faithful to fully appreciate the remarkable contributions he’s making and how truly awe-inspiring it is to witness his exceptional performance.

You’re watching history and it may not be too long before you’re watching it no more…so take it in while you have him.

Undoubtedly, Sidney Crosby stands as the linchpin in the Penguins’ playoff aspirations, often single-handedly shouldering the team to victories. A defining moment highlighting his brilliance was evident in the game against Boston. Crosby’s remarkable speed down the ice, ended up outpacing Hampus Lindholm to nullify an icing, showcased his unwavering commitment to the team’s success. 

It’s been said before but he has the mentality of a 4th liner who’s doing everything to stay on the team and make an impact. Except it’s also a highly talented, high hockey IQ, two hundred foot game monster out there.

Simply incredible.

Nevertheless, despite the noteworthy efforts and individual brilliance of Sid, there’s a lingering sense that the team isn’t fully contender status. While some pieces of the puzzle are undoubtedly in place, the composition may still be missing a crucial element.

One contributing factor to the perception that they fall short of contender status lies in those games where the Penguins seem to revert to the “Same old Pens“. Whether it’s squandering a lead or delivering forty minutes of lackluster hockey where the only energy is shown in the last twenty minutes, when it’s twenty minutes too late.

Examples like losing to teams like Buffalo and Ottawa, who they must beat. These teams have tons of talent, but they’re bad in execution and utilizing said talent. So the Penguins should beat them, but they didn’t and often don’t. They come out flat as if they don’t take them serious, losing much needed points.

These instances overshadow the team’s potential and leave a lingering sense of inconsistency that triggers the frustrations of last year.

It always feels like it’s the same despite the fact that the Penguins are 4th in the league five on five, Jarry leading the league in shutouts, a 9-3-3 record across their last 15, one of the best PK’s in the league, all that sounds like playoff success.

Except every game they feel as if they’re teetering on the edge of cliff hoping not to free fall to their doom. So what gives? Well, one of the biggest missing ingredients? Consistency.

When the Penguins play defensive hockey, slowing down the other teams and just straight suffocating the life out of them, they win.

Sure it’s boring hockey, but they need to do what it takes for success, not do what they used to and fly around the ice. That doesn’t work anymore with this current roster makeup.

When everyone gets the message from the start of the game, and they set the tone for the other team, they quite literally control the game, sometimes it’s outright dominance, like the Pens last game against Seattle.

There needs to be more of that, the whole bench up and down the line-up must start the game with the mentality “We play strong defense, we control the game, we make them play our game.” From the start of the game, until the end.

A full sixty minutes. (But that drums been beaten to death, but hey let’s beat it again.)

The league is filled with young, fast and highly skilled players now, the Penguins on the other hand have a team with tons of skill, high hockey IQ, but little youth, and a handful of fast players. But they can’t dance the dance anymore, or tango to tango, they need to play their game for their current team.

This team needs to be the 07-08 Redwing’s, quite literally. They adapted to be a cohesive defensive machine, using their skill and high hockey IQ to win off of the defense when the opportunities presented themselves. They knew what they were at that time, they accepted it and they won a Stanley Cup because of it.

But that’s not all that seems missing, the Penguins need one more player to step up, and one more to step in.

I don’t believe Colin White is the answer. But perhaps as fellow writer Rick Buker pointed out, maybe it’s Jesse Puljujarvi. He wrote a great article you can check out.

Speaking of players elevating their game, Drew OConnor appears to be on the cusp of a mini-breakout, injecting a much-needed boost to our scoring depth. Additionally, Valtteri Puustinen has brought a surge of energy, skill, and depth to the team, providing a valuable infusion as well.

But despite these call ups or possible call ups, I believe the Penguins still need to add to fully sure up this team as a contender. Specifically, a genuine defenseman for the bottom pairing is essential.

Ludvig has been great and should stay in the lineup, but I’m not worried he’ll ever get sent down, it seems he’s safely earned his spot. Shea and Ruhwedel have played admirably, but they aren’t going to cut it if the Penguins desire Lord Stanley.

There’s a need for an experienced player with an affordable contract to solidify the blue line, guys like Jarred Tinordi at $1,250,000 and Jon Merrill at $1,200,000 come to mind. But even that might be a little steep for the Penguins tight cap, or essentially no cap.

So in my mind Zach Bogosian would be perfect and he’s only $850,000. He is a right defensemen but Ludvig has shown he can play left or right, so I’d say that Bogosian would be preferable.

And lastly the Penguins probably need one more depth forward. Maybe Jesse Puljujarvi will turn out to be the answer and no trade will need to be done. But knowing Dubas, I don’t think he will sit on his hands come close to the deadline or at it.

Especially if the Penguins look they’re not going to make it to the playoffs, then at that point you must get a return on Guentzel.

But they need someone who can at minimum put up 30-40 points somewhere in that bottom six, the team just struggles to score sometimes. They need a guy who brings that burst of energy, and can help supplement the scoring when that top line is having trouble.

I don’t know who to even get at this point, but thankfully I’m not a GM. That’s probably for the best. Maybe I’ll take a deeper dive in another article at what players might work or be Dubas targets.

Kyle Dubas has some tough decisions, but the way Crosby is playing toppled with this great goalie tandem, I wouldn’t want to squander that. The Penguins feel as if they’re on the brink of falling to basement league fodder after one bad week or 2nd in the metro on their current pace.

They need just the smallest boost to be contenders, which might be increased production from the younger players, strong defensive system, or some newly added pieces.

Of course in my mind it seems the answer is.

All of the above…

8 thoughts on “The X-Factor Hunt: What is the Penguins’ Missing Ingredient?”
  1. Hey Caleb.

    Sorry to get to the dance so late. Loved (make that LOVED) your article and agree on so many levels…especially your sentiments about Crosby. Your description of him playing with the urgency of a fourth liner trying to help the team in any way you can is absolutely spot on.

    I’ve been watching him more closely this season and the details in his game…at 36 years of age…are just off the charts. What an incredible player and athlete.

    Also agree with your assessment that we do better when we play a more controlled style. I think we have the ability to score and make teams pay on the counter punch…much like the Islanders have done for several years. Playing a more buttoned-down, team-oriented style can also cover up a multitude of blemishes. And we have a few…

    I’m probably most concerned about our defense. Odd in a way, since we’ve allowed the third fewest goals in the league. (An ode to our goaltending, which has been terrific.) By my humble estimation we have three legit studs (Letang, Pettersson and Karlsson)…and a lot of question marks. I have to admit to being disappointed in Graves thus far, although in looking at his WAR charts perhaps our/my expectations of him as a defensive rock were misplaced. POJ absolutely can not defend and, frankly, scares me to death…especially when paired with Karlsson. Ruhwedel’s fairly bombproof, albeit in his limited role. As much as I love the type of player Ludvig is, he seems to fight the puck and his underlying numbers are poor.

    IMHO, we need a solid, physical second pairing defenseman. Don’t know where we’re going to find one of those.

    I also agree that we could use a middle-six forward who can score some. In my wildest dreams that’s Puljujarvi, but that seems a lot to put on him at this stage. Hopefully Sam Poulin’s recent scoring surge with the Baby Pens might translate to the big time. But for now he remains an unproven commodity.

    Again, great article!

    Rick

    1. Hey Rick,

      Glad you enjoyed my article!

      I would say less like the Islanders and more like Vegas/Boston. Islanders do nothing but try to shut it down, at the sacrifice of perhaps too much offense, but that’s also because they have fewer weapons.

      Graves has been improving, and it does take defensemen longer to fit in with a new team, but I agree strongly defense needs work, either in another piece or improvement from someone like Graves. You’re right, POJ and throw in Chad, need to go.

      I don’t think they’re going to add a physical second pairing defensemen, they’re hard to come by (one just went to Vancouver, in Zadorov), and Graves takes too much cap to add another, and they usually come at a cost to the acquiring team that we can’t afford.

      And I’m certain Dubas feels that the second pairing dman is Graves, they’re just going to give him the time and stick with him. They kind of have no choice based on that new contract and the way he’s playing.

  2. Caleb
    The missing ingredient is two-fold – Their in dire need of a net front presence
    at both ends of the ice. Right now offensively and specifically on the Power
    play there basically wasting Karlsson’s skill/shot with no one willing to take
    the eyes away from opposing goalies. As the old 29er likes to say, if an NHL
    goalie can see it he’ll probably make the save. On the defensive end of the
    ice they need a physical defender with size & toughness – Fans often wonder
    why our goalies struggle in the playoffs, well a big reason for that is the traffic
    in front of our net and our unwillingness to clear opposing forwards from
    camping out in front of our goalies. We allow teams to crash the net, run over
    our goalie without any concern for retaliation – I thing back to the game vs the
    Bruins when not only did Marchand punch Jarry in the side of the head but he
    followed that up by spearing him – “No response” by our Penguins!! That can’t
    happen. One of these times when Crosby or Malkin are forced to defend themselves
    it’s going to backfire on Sullivan & Company. This turn the cheek philosophy isn’t
    working and if we’re lucky enough to make the playoffs it will once again rear it’s
    ugly head.

    1. Hey Mike,

      And that is the reason I wanted the team to draft Maveric Lamoureux instead of Owen Pickering and why I wanted them to draft Quinten Musty and not Brayden Yager (although Yager isn’t the waste of a 1st rnd pick that Pickering is) and why I wanted Dubas to go after Zadorov. And why I wanted the team to keep their picks and draft players like Nicklas Hague and K’andre Miller. The team that controls the creases (both O and D) is the team that will win 4 out of 7 games, at the least.

      However, I still do not respect some of the Goalies in this organization and understand that he and his contract is the weak link, right now, on this team.

      1. When you say you “don’t respect some of the goalies,” do I get three guesses as to who you’re referring to? … 🙂

        Rick

    2. Hello Mike!

      So as for a net front presence especially on the powerplay, I agree. I actually have suggested many a time they try Jeff Carter on the first Power Play and have him in front of the net. He’s a big body who isn’t afraid to get hit by the puck, which some players are (Guentzel & DOC) and Carter still has the hands.

      As for what’s called answering the bell, as long as Acciari & Ludvig are out there,I think they have enough physicality and feistiness to create some energy. But true enforcers don’t really exist anymore, and the few that do, don’t produce enough or offer anything outside of perhaps fighting that they’re worth the cap.

      And as for causing traffic in front of the net, or even just being there for rebounds, I also agree. The Penguins like to take shots from the circles or from the point, but no one heads for the net or even the slot. When they do, they often score, there needs to be more of that.

      1. Caleb – great job!!
        I do like Acciari & Ludvig and I do think Ludvig would come to the aid of a teammate. Acciari is more
        of an energy player that loves to take the body. I like both of them of those players.
        To your point about fighting. Not sure if you’re aware that fighting has actually been rising over the
        last 3yrs but I’m not asking for the Pen’s to pick up a goon but their in dire need of more team
        toughness from top to bottom. Also, I have a problem with Sullivan who IMO hates when a player
        drops the gloves – Again, IMO you can’t let opposing teams take advantage of your goalie – I just
        want a couple of players who will stand up with the situation calls for it. One more quick point i would
        like to make “no one should allow Crosby to defend himself” Against Vancouver J.T. Miller blasted
        Sid from behind – one of our 18 players should of sent a message to Miller that you don’t mess with Sid.
        Instead it was same old, same old. This can’t happen.

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