• Thu. Apr 23rd, 2026

Could Defensive Woes Derail Penguins Playoff Hopes?

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ByRick Buker

Mar 24, 2026

To say there’s an extraordinary playoff chase occurring in the NHL’s Eastern Conference is putting it as mildly as Ivory soap. No fewer than seven teams are engaged in a full-blown battle royale for five playoff spots, the Penguins among them.

In the Atlantic, the Canadiens and Bruins (wild card) are currently in with 86 points apiece, with the Red Wings (84 points) and the piping-hot Senators (83 points) on the outside of the playoff picture.

In the Metro? The Pens have 86 points, tailed by the CBJ and Islanders (wild card) with 85 apiece.

Talk about being packed tighter than the proverbial tin of sardines!

It was suggested on another site that 98 points will be the cutoff. If so, the locals would need to garner a dozen points in their final 12 games, or .500 hockey.

While that certainly seems doable, given the difficulty of our schedule, especially over the next two weeks, combined with emerging and troublesome issues in our overall play?

I’d hardly consider a playoff berth a lock at this stage.

Defense is a particular area of concern. Going back to a 5-1 loss to the Sabres on March 5, the Pens have yielded a staggering 42 non-shootout goals in 10 games, an average of better (or worse) than four goals per game!

While the goaltending of Stuart Skinner and Arturs Šilovs hasn’t been airtight, it would be all-too-convenient (and inaccurate) to blame them for our woes. Especially since the bottom two defensive pairings have largely been a shambles in the wake of Kyle Dubas’s ill-fated deal that sent steady-Eddie Brett Kulak to the Avalanche for Samuel Girard.

Not only has the latter failed to mesh with Kris Letang on the second pairing, but Tanger’s been play has been in an absolute freefall of late. In his 14 games since the trade, Letang’s a minus-11 with a paltry two assists.

Coach Dan Muse has had difficulty filling the third port-side slot as well. Newcomer Ilya Soloyov has had his moments, but is mistake-prone. He and Connor Clifton have struggled as a pair, particularly when it comes to advancing the puck.

In desperation, Muse retrieved Ryan Graves from mothballs for Sunday’s loss to the Hurricanes. Given his difficulties handling the puck, the rangy defender hardly seems the ideal choice. Neither does perennial prospect Owen Pickering, who bombed in an earlier trial.

Could a player currently serving a suspension be the answer to the team’s defensive woes?

To say it’s been a lost season for Caleb Jones is a raging understatement. After earning a third-pairing slot to begin the season, Jones skated in seven games while serving primarily as a partner for prized rookie Harrison Brunicke before being sidelined for over two months with a broken foot.

Although Jones’s metrics aren’t anything to write home about, with the exception of a 57.14, 5v5 goals for percentage, there’s another set of numbers you can’t ignore. Namely, the Pens’ 6-1 record with him in the lineup.

Too, Caleb possesses attributes the Pens could sorely use right now. Chief among them, excellent wheels and the ability to make a good first pass out of our zone. To say nothing to being able skate the puck out of harm’s way if need be. A glaring shortcoming, especially on the third pairing.

I close my eyes and envision Jones being an effective partner for Clifton or Jack St. Ivany, take your pick.

Unfortunately, by my unofficial count, the Arlington, Texas native still has five games left to serve on his 20-game suspension for violating the league’s policy on PEDs. Which means he won’t be eligible to return until our April 2 matchup with the Lightning at the earliest.

Upon his return, it’s more than likely Jones will be reassigned to the Baby Pens on a conditioning assignment. Which could carry through to the end of the season, or darn near.

If we miss the playoffs?

Hard as it is to imagine given his relatively low profile, Jones’s untimely suspension could’ve played a bigger role than anyone would’ve thought.

7 thoughts on “Could Defensive Woes Derail Penguins Playoff Hopes?”
  1. Rick
    Our defense has definitely struggled. A couple of adjustments I would suggest for the coaching staff to consider are, first, reducing Letang’s minutes. While I am not blaming Letang for the overall decline of the defensive unit, he has significantly contributed to poor puck movement and decision-making in our own zone, which has resulted in sustained pressure from the opposition.

    Second, I would move Shea to the third pairing alongside Clifton.

    Regarding our goaltending, I do not believe it is fair to hold them accountable, particularly in the game against the Hurricanes. As a team, we were ineffective in all three zones, and it often felt as though the puck rarely exited our defensive end. We appeared fatigued and never really found our rhythm.

    1. Hey Mike.

      I agree 100 percent about the goaltending. I think all-in-all Silovs and Skinner have been better than average. I’m more concerned with the way the team’s playing in front of them. I’m sure some of it’s fatigue, but the “connectedness” between the forwards and defense seems to have dissipated. Perhaps an unfortunate combination of the forwards not getting in a position to present decent outlet pass options and/or the d’s struggles to move the puck up to them.

      If it wasn’t for Erik Karlsson serving as a one-man transition game…

      As you noted, we’ve really become vulnerable to teams that employ an aggressive forecheck.

      I have no idea what the remedy is. PPer Caleb DiNatale noted that Solovyov and Girard had an effective game together in a win over Boston back on March 8. Then Girard got hurt and sat out a stretch and that combination seemed to go by the wayside.

      Don’t know if we try that again or not.

      I like Shea and Clifton together. But that means we have to go with Letang-Girard, which hasn’t worked.

      I truly don’t know what the answer is, or if one even exists given our present personnel.

      If only we could undo the Kulak trade.

      Rick

      1. Unfortunately Rick, the evidence, the numbers don’t support you. Silovs and Skinners Sv% are below the league average. In shootouts Solovs’ numbers rank him 59th out of 66 Goalies and Skinner’s numbers rank him 49th. This two aren’t even average let alone good and that is why this team is mathematically on the bubble.

        Defensively, in the last 25 games, the Penguins team defense has given up the 9th least amount of shots on Goal, 26.34, but the Goalies Sv% is 5 points below the League average.

        I certainly wouldn’t want any of these defensemen on my team, but they are not the problem. They are doing their best to insulate their Goalies, and they have to, the Goalies fail them, when the game is on the line and the score is +/- 1 Goal, the Penguins’ Goalies are even worse, they drop 6.4 points, while the SA remains relatively stable.

        I am not going to tell yu what to think, Rick, but the evidence doesn’t support your conclusions.

        1. Hey Other Rick,

          Over his last 14 games, Silovs has a .904 save percentage. Over his last 17 games, Skinner has an .896 save percentage. And that includes recent bumpy stretches for both (and the team).

          Hardly Vezina-esque, I know. But I’ll take it.

          As for viable alternatives? While Murashov is enjoying a terrific season with the Baby Pens, he had a sub-.900 save percentage in three of his five appearances with the Pens. In his last outing against the Mammoth on December 14, he gave up four third-period goals in six minutes to erase a 3-0 lead before allowing the game-winner 42 seconds into overtime.

          It’s anybody’s guess as to whether or not he’d be an improvement over what we have right now. Especially with the team defense as shaky as it’s been.

          Rick

          1. Rick,

            Question, why are you choosing Skinners last 17 games and Silovs last 14 games? Why not the last 14 games or 17 games for both, or perhaps the last 25 team games? Your choice of disparate games seems rather odd.

            Furthermore, why do you want to only focus on just this game or that and not the entire body of their work for the season? Do you not realize that all the points that these two Goalies have lost the Penguins are now coming home to roost? Did you just gloss over my pointing out that if they had played just up to the league average in shoot out play that this team would have won half of their shoot out games and pick up an additional 6 points to the 6 points they did pick up?

            Again, Silvos and Skinner are below the league average in just about every category. They are the fault. First, even if they played average hockey, average is not good, it is only average, but at least if the played average hockey, the team would be significantly padded with points down this stretch run. Penguins Goalies are the main culprit why we are even having this discussion.

            And worst of all is the rumors now circulating that Dubas is wanting to re-sign Skinner in the off-season. I guess KD just can’t help himself, he has to sign and trade for bad Goalies. Someone in FSG and/or the Hoffman group needs to step in and over-ride any thoughts Dubas has on Goaltending and do the exact opposite. KD clearly has no idea what good Goaltending looks like.

  2. Rick,

    With our Penguins set to play three of the teams below them in the playoff hunt before the month is out, I would be willing to say that the black and gold could make the playoffs with as few as 4 more wins, provided that 3 of those 4 wins came against the three teams below them, OTT, NYI, and DET. I also need to remind you that our Pens have 2 more games against the decimated Panthers and 2 more vs the very bubble Caps. It is not two minutes to midnight yet my friend.

    On the other point Rick, sorry but every metric says it is the Goalies fault. In shootouts alone our Penguins’ netminders are hugely to blame. Despite everyone’s whining about the skaters, our favorite flightless fowl rank in the middle third of the league in terms of shootout shooting percentage, but our Goalie rank next to last in Save%. If the turnstiles that masquerade as Goalies for the black-and-gold would be at least as good as the shooters then the team would have at least 6 more points (50% of the SOs). Those 6 points put them in the chase for home ice through the conference round. Factor in some of the come from the front losses in regulation, the team could be challenging for the Presidents trophy.

    The sad state of affairs in Goal is that the last Penguins’ Goalie that actually stole a game that the team should have lost may have been Jarry, that is how bad the Goaltending has been.

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